With renewable energy costs declining 80-90% over the past decade, home solar installations have become financially viable for millions of homeowners. The average solar system costs $15,000-25,000 before incentives but generates $800-2,000+ monthly in electricity value through production and grid credits. Calculating accurate payback periods requires modeling energy production, electricity rates, tax credits, rebates, degradation, and financing costs. This calculator estimates the true financial return on solar, wind, and geothermal investments while accounting for inflation, technology degradation, and long-term sustainability.
For example: 8kW system ร 5 peak sun hours ร 365 days ร 0.80 efficiency = 11,680 kWh annually. At $0.13/kWh, that's $1,518/year in electricity value.
Homeowner: Bob, California, $22,000 solar system (8kW), electricity rate $0.14/kWh.
Costs: $22,000 - $6,600 federal (30%) - $1,000 state = $14,400 net cost
Production: 8kW ร 5 sun hours ร 365 ร 0.80 = 11,680 kWh/year ร $0.14 = $1,635/year
Payback: $14,400 รท $1,635 = 8.8 years
25-year savings (3% rate increase): $55,000+
| System Type | Typical Cost | Payback Period | 25-Year Savings | Best Use Case |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solar (5kW residential) | $15,000-20,000 | 7-10 years | $40,000-60,000 | Most homes with sun exposure |
| Wind (10kW) | $50,000-80,000 | 10-15 years | $80,000-150,000 | Rural areas, high wind (avg 10+ mph) |
| Geothermal Heat Pump | $20,000-30,000 | 8-12 years | $50,000-80,000 | Cold climates, high heating/cooling needs |
This calculator assumes standard conditions. Actual ROI depends on local incentives, utility rate structures, shading, installation quality, and system maintenance. Consult certified installers for site-specific quotes.